Posted by
Prysson on Tuesday, January 22, 2008 12:59:01 PM
It wouldn’t take much reading here to discover that I am a Giuliani supporter. I would very much like to see him be president. Having said that I would like to state that I am officially changing my support to Mit Romney.
It’s been a long while coming to this conclusion. I have been skeptical about his too contrived political positioning as a “social conservative” I have been put off by his too too pretty appearance...it smacked of the same sort of controlled superficiality I found distasteful about Edwards. His permanently affixed smile made me wonder what he was hiding. Finally some of his positions just frankly smacked of a process guy which just trumpets business as usual. Talking about consulting with lawyers in the event of a nuclear crisis with Iran coupled with his stated intention of using special forces to build schools in Islamic countries as a means of combating terrorists still make me nervous.
So why am I going to vote for him?
Well, despite my reservations his stock has been rising for me. His speech at the George Bush Presidential Library on religion and politics was a truly great speech and started the process. His campaigning in Michigan was earnest and solid, he spoke about his leadership on economics and touted his credentials in that arena which as a successful business man are not insignificant. He doesn’t talk enough about reducing spending in my view but he does inspire confidence that he understands the economy and can get this ship righted and more than any other candidate he displays a comprehension of how to promote energy independence has a legitimate plan for doing so and seems to pander less than anyone on the environment...and for me that’s huge. I am utterly convinced we are facing a energy crises due to our stupid politics on this issue and Romney might be best positioned to steer us clear of it.
Also, Romney had done well recently to expose a more human side that has been easier to connect to. His message of being an agent of change has been resonating better than his trying to position himself as a social conservative. But also frankly he is clearly more comfortable in those shoes and being comfortable with your message is important. I believe the man more now because I feel less like I am getting swindled by his handlers. The guy I have seen recently is a guy I trust and that’s important to me too. The guy I have seen recently has been strong with a good sense of where he wants to lead and silly as it may seem..he strikes me as a genuinely good and decent man. All of that matters.
Still all of that only got him to an enthusiastic second place. But South Carolina has changed all that. As I blogged prior I think that South Carolina sinks two ships. Huckabee is done (though not out as a VP candidate (shudder with revulsion) and so he will plug on to raise his stock in that regard) and so too is Fred. McCain however is well poised to capture the nomination. I still think he will not prevail because there is a lot of animus out there against him… but he is well positioned to win it. A win in Florida would put McCain in the drivers seat and I really don’t want that to happen.
In recent days I have come to the conclusion that McCain would be as big of a disaster as Huckabee.
Let’s examine this briefly.
- He would almost certainly reverse the Bush tax cuts…certainly things like the death tax would come back...so count on your taxes going up.
- His claim that he will reduce spending is irrelevant...presidents don’t spend money congress does and no matter what he says he wont veto spending bills forever and a democrats congress is GOING TO SPEND MONEY.
- In spite of a looming energy crisis he is a global warming true believer and he WILL imposes carbon caps on energy (which amounts to energy taxes and higher energy costs with less energy available).
- Despite his claims to the contrary one of the first things he is going to do is cram the McCain Kennedy Immigration bill down our throats.
- “He is good on the life issue” Horse crap and a pile of it. The ONLY place where a president is going to influence this is on the courts and if you think you can rely on John McCain to put strict constructionists on the supreme court you are crazy. This is the guy who through good conservative judges under the bus for the sake of political amity. Remember that when you think he is going to fight for conservative judges.
- Despite his support for the war in Iraq he is apposed to water boarding and wants to close Guantanimo.
In short I think John McCain will lead to yet even more internal revolt (in the form of staying home on election days) for republicans. You can kiss goodbye any chance of recapturing the congress…indeed I predict a John McCain presidency would lead to a economic disaster with an utterly routed republican party. Mind you I would still vote for him…because he would be better than Hillary (only Huckabee would be worse) but I would do so with a heavy heart knowing the republican party is ruined and the country is heading for a train wreck.
THAT is why I am now a Romney supporter. I like Rudy…but he should have gotten in the game earlier. He is no longer a part of the story and that’s dangerous. Right now my vote is no longer just for the guy I want...it’s for the guy I want who has the best chance of winning. I’m not about to vote for Rudy if it means handing McCain the nomination. Mit Romney is best poised to win Florida aside from McCain and so I have to give him my support…not that I get to vote in Florida living in Minnesota as I do, but I’m an all in guy and so for me to root for the man I need to be on his side.